T1D Index estimates for 2025 · IDF Africa region · Lower-Middle-Income country
An estimated 22,063 people are living with type 1 diabetes in Kenya in 2025. Each year about 2,674 people are newly diagnosed and 1,618 people with T1D die. A further 31,009 people would be alive today had they not died early from type 1 diabetes.
People living with T1D
22,063
New diagnoses this year
2,674
Deaths this year
1,618
Missing people
31,009
Expected age at death, diagnosed at 10
27.3years
How many people have type 1 diabetes in Kenya?
22,063 people in Kenya are living with type 1 diabetes in 2025, or 38.4 per 100,000 people. That is higher than the Africa average of 29.7 per 100,000 and lower than the global average of 115.5. Kenya has the 61st-largest number of people living with T1D of the 202 countries in the T1D Index, and the 5th-largest of the 49 countries in the IDF Africa region.
For every 100 people living with T1D in Kenya, another 141 are missing: people who would be alive today had they not died early from T1D.
Is type 1 diabetes increasing in Kenya?
The number of people living with T1D in Kenya went from 3,814 in 2000 to 22,063 in 2025, and is projected to rise to 42,607 by 2040 (+93%).
People living with type 1 diabetes in Kenya, 2000–2040. Solid line: modelled estimates to 2025; dashed line: projection to 2040.
Type 1 diabetes in Kenya over time, all ages
Year
Living with T1D
New diagnoses
Deaths
Missing people
2000
3,814
651
632
7,787
2010
8,270
1,272
954
15,084
2020
16,309
2,111
1,321
24,800
2025
22,063
2,674
1,618
31,009
2030 (projected)
29,245
3,551
2,210
38,966
2040 (projected)
42,607
4,003
2,947
60,146
What is the life expectancy with type 1 diabetes in Kenya?
A 10-year-old diagnosed with type 1 diabetes in Kenya today is expected to live to 27.3, compared with 66.9 for a 10-year-old without T1D: 39.6 years of life lost. Counting years lived with complications as well, T1D costs 41.7 years of healthy life at today's level of care. If everyone received timely diagnosis, insulin and test strips, and insulin pumps and CGMs, that loss would fall to 16.3 years.
Healthy years of life for a 10-year-old diagnosed with T1D in Kenya, as each level of care is added in turn
Level of care
Healthy years restored
Healthy years of life
Healthy years still lost
Current level of care
–
25.2
41.7
+ Timely diagnosis for everyone
+3.4
28.6
38.3
+ Insulin and test strips for everyone
+15.0
43.6
23.3
+ Insulin pumps and CGMs for everyone
+7.0
50.6
16.3
How does Kenya compare?
Type 1 diabetes in Kenya compared with the Africa region and the world, 2025
2025
Kenya
Africa
World
People living with T1D per 100,000
38.4
29.7
115.5
New diagnoses per 100,000
4.7
4.0
6.2
Missing people per 100 living with T1D
140.5
160.4
43.0
Expected age at death, 10-year-old with T1D
27.3
24.4
51.3
Expected age at death, 10-year-old in general population
All figures are T1D Index version 3.0 estimates for all ages. Missing people are those who would be alive today had they not died early from type 1 diabetes. Expected age at death is for a 10-year-old. See Data & Methods for how the estimates are made and the peer-reviewed publications behind them.
